The Lineup
Carl M. Cannon
May 28, 2008, 09:41 AM High Stakes Poker By Carl M. Cannon
  

Thanks to those who emailed me about the link to Bill Clinton’s “cover-up” outburst in South Dakota yesterday (although posting comments is better). Several in our fledgling cyber-community wonder why Clinton sounds unhinged these days. I think I know. Critics of the former president’s—including some Hillaryites—complain that Bill Clinton acts as though the 2008 election is all about him. In one way, this might be true: it’s all about his legacy.

 

Here is how I believe Bill Clinton sees things: His presidency can be judged two ways. The first narrative—that’s the hot word in Democratic Party political circles—flows from Hillary Clinton’s election as the 44th president of the United States. In this scenario, William Jefferson Clinton is the chief executive who presided over a humming economy during eight years of relative peace. He was impeached by frustrated Republicans over purely private behavior in a power grab that amounted to an assault on the Constitution. Yet the voters, in their infinite wisdom, elected Clinton’s vice president to succeed him, a result overturned by Floridian incompetence, a partisan Supreme Court, and a governmental relic known as the Electoral College. Nonetheless, Clinton’s wife was elected and re-elected to the Senate, the Congress subsequently went Democratic, and Clinton’s former first lady was chosen as president 10 years after Republicans impeached her husband. On that day, January 20, 2009, Bill Clinton enters the Democratic pantheon as the man who accomplished what even the sainted FDR couldn’t even pull off: Eleanor Roosevelt was never elected president.

 

That’s one story line. Here’s another: Hillary Clinton is denied the nomination. Barack Obama (or John McCain) is elected president. The contentious, scandal-a-day Clinton years are mercifully put behind us. Congress begins working together again—and in concert with the White House. Clinton’s presidency is remembered for corruption (renting the Lincoln bedroom, raising money from Buddhist monks, selling pardons on the way out the door), ineffectiveness (failure to ratify the Kyoto climate accords and Hillary’s health care fiasco), and his own tawdry treatment of women (see: Paula Corbin Jones, Kathleen Willey, Juanita Broaddrick, and Monica Lewinsky). All the while, Osama bin Laden was busy planning global assaults on Americans in general and the attack on the Pentagon and World Trade Center in particular. Two American embassies are bombed by al-Qaeda and a Navy ship-o-war is nearly sunk while Clinton and his foreign policy team dither with paperwork. Afterwards, Clinton, who'd since been disbarred, dispatches his national security adviser to pilfer documents from the National Archives so we’ll never know what those papers would have revealed.

 

Two competing narratives. One possible 2008 result. No wonder he gets red in the face talking about it.

 

 

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By italialana, 05/28/2008, 9:17 PM EDT
I'd have to say that has the ring of truth, Carl; but perhaps WJC is being too idealistic in his hopes that he can revive/further bolster (depending on one's view) his legacy through his wife if she becomes president. His lasting legacy- for instance, whether NAFTA proves good/bad, or the lasting effects of his perhaps blindsightedness to Islamic extremism resulting from the ML scandal- for better or worse, has yet to be determined, but regardless, it is HIS. What Hilary does(n't) will be HERS.
By jtronica, 05/28/2008, 12:46 PM EDT
In speculating on the Clintons and their perceptions of their own legacy, one wonders if they seek outside perspectives. The explanations and outrage they've expressed in reaction to media coverage of their various campaign gaffes would indicate that they don't. And much of the current turmoil about HRC staying in the race seems self-perpetuated. I suppose the contemplation of one's own legacy is, by definition, a myopic enterprise. But don't the Clintons understand that reality isn't conjured?
By WinstonSmith, 05/28/2008, 12:11 PM EDT
Regardless if HRC wins the nomination, Clinton's presidency will be remembered for balancing the federal budget, reforming welfare, and passing NAFTA with a GOP congress led by Gingrich, (cheating on his second wife as he slept with a female House staffer), & talkradio's thrice married Rush "the majority maker" Limbaugh. Historians will note the BC era as one where the DC press rendered meaningful the trivial and trivialized the meaningful. As McClellan's book shows, somethings never change..
By era12, 05/28/2008, 11:31 AM EDT
Your analysis, as always, is spot on Mr. Cannon. One could also see that hand and raise it...It may be that Bill wants to protect his legacy as you lay out in your first narrative, by getting his wife elected...or helping her get elected. It may also be that he feels he owes her big-time. After years of his philandering, he feels the need to pay her back. Collecting millions in speakers fees is one way to do that. Going out on the trail is another. His money is more valuable than his words?
By Ellsbury4Prez, 05/28/2008, 11:06 AM EDT
What's everyone's over/under on the date this thing gets brokered (Dems), assuming its before the Convention?
By WilliamHTaft, 05/28/2008, 10:59 AM EDT
Referring to a romantic breakup, a wise friend once said there are three sides to every story--his, hers and the truth. I suspect the Bill Clinton legacy will fall somewhere between these two scenarios. As Mr Cannon well knows from his book about Reagan and GW Bush, a Presidential legacy is decades in the making, if not longer. Hell, President Bush thinks George Washington's legacy is still being debated!
By Malaka, 05/28/2008, 10:44 AM EDT
Fabulous. Although, could it be that Bill sub-consciously wants Hillary to lose because he is a narcissistic maniac? I have to say, if Hillary could somehow get the nomination, I'd love to hear what McCain has to say about Bill Clinton's presidency. That would really get things heated up.
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