The Lineup
Carl M. Cannon
June 22, 2009, 05:42 PM Q and A: Why Iran Matters By Carl M. Cannon

Q: Why not just ignore Iran, and its fraudulent elections? What do we care?

A: Iran is a large nation that is gaining enormous influence in a volatile region of the world, supports anti-American and anti-Israeli terrorist organizations, possesses a lot of oil, frightens its Arab neighbors, and is led by a menacing demagogue hell-bent on acquiring nuclear technology.

Q: That sounds bad, but isn't  Iran's desire to development nuclear energy understandable?

A:  Iran, the world's fourth-largest oil producer, is not truly interested in nuclear power. They want to be a nuclear power as in a nuclear military power.

Q: Don't India and Pakistan already possess nuclear weapons?

A: Yes, but adding Iran to the club is fraught with danger. When Pakistan acquired its nuclear capability, some Muslim commentators greeted the news joyously, calling it: "an Islamic bomb." Under that logic, Iran's would be a "Shiite bomb." The ascension of Iran's Shia ayatollahs has exacerbated historic and violent tensions between Sunnis and Shias - and militants in both sects compete with each other to see who can be more virulently anti-India, anti-America, and anti-Israel. It's not a good mix.


Iran's President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad speaks to his supporters at an election campaign in southern Tehran in May 2009.
REUTERS/Raheb Homavandi.

 

Q: Are Iranian leaders really murderous enough to contemplate annihilating Israel if they got their hands on nukes?

A: They talk s if they are. In 2005, shortly after assuming power, Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad asserted that Israel should "be wiped off the map." It's a sentiment Ahmadinejad attributed to Iran's ranking cleric, the nation's "Supreme Leader" Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who never denied it, and it's a threat Ahmadinejad has subsequently repeated, in one form or another, many times.

Q: Is he a madman?

A: At the very least, he's imbued with a troubling mix of hatred and ignorance. Ahmadinejad routinely spins dark conspiracies about everything from 9/11 to the supposed "Zionist" influence over the international financial system. He's obsessed with denying the Holocaust, which he has called a "myth." This is darkly ironic, as the historic figure he most resembles when he rants about Jews is Hitler.

Q: It's easy to see why the Israelis don't want this guy with his finger on the button. Do they have a plan to deal with Iran's nuclear ambitions?

A: In June of 1981, Israeli destroyed a nuclear reactor being constructed by the French for Iraq at a place called Osirak in the Iraqi desert with a daring daylight air raid by a squadron of Israeli F-15s and F-16s. The memory of that operation has prompted numerous commentators to opine that Israel has similar contingencies planned for Iran in the event of failure in the negotiations to forestall Iran's nuclear ambitions.

Q: Will those negotiations break down?

A:  They essentially already have. Iran now insists that acquiring a nuclear capability is its sovereign right. The problem is that Iran's nuclear program isn't concentrated at a single reactor the way Iraq's was. It is believed to be dispersed throughout the country, protected in hardened bunkers, and shielded in a shroud of secrecy. It is unlikely that conventional air strikes could do anything more than temporarily slow the progress of Iran's nuclear program. A tactical nuclear strike and, yes, Israel is presumed to possess such weapons might do it, but that would also inflame Islamic and world opinion so much that Israel would be dangerously isolated.

Q: What about the United States?

A: America's armed forces could probably stop the program, but might have to occupy Iran to do it. And the U.S. military is already stretched to the breaking point in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Q: Is there any way to bring about regime change in Iran, then?

A: That is the key question, but the answer sounds like a Zen riddle: Perhaps the best thing the Obama administration can do is ... nothing. Ahmadinejad already blames the U.S. and Israel for all his own failings, and Ayatollah Khamenei issued a blistering attack on President Obama last week despite the fact that Obama has said little and done even less since Iranians have taken to the street to protest Ahmadinejad's election fraud. So siding too openly with the opposition might play into the regime's hands and backfire on the United States.

Q: So we just wait, and do nothing?

A: To reiterate: the fear of the Obama administration is that merely speaking out in favor of the Iranian opposition parties may compromise them. Insofar as armed intervention goes, after the U.S. experience in Iraq, it's clear to most experts that Iran is a problem with a diplomatic solution, not a military one. Partly we negotiate, partly we wait, and partly we just hope.

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By fnitts@lycos.com, 06/23/2009, 4:48 PM EDT
VERNON BALMER JR. GENERAL DELIVERY HONOLULU, HAWAII 96820 Cronology: April 14, 2009: The IRS tells me there is a 1099 in my name for 2007. I never applied for social security, never received a check from social security, or cashed a check from social security. The SSA tells me there is no record of a 1099 in my name. March 19, 2009: Emails I had in my AOL account have vanished. The emails were between Ms. Mason and me when President Obama was Senator of Illinois. Who would want them gone? Seems anyone can come to the Hawaii State Library at anytime and do anything they want with, on, and at the public computers. Aug 18, 2008: I go to the police station to get a copy of the report made to Officer Porter. The statement is still not with the rest of the paper work. My statement contained more detailed infromation about what was inside, including my passport and birth certificate, and numerous correspondence with government agencies. July 27,2008: I return to the police station to make another report and statement. This time with Officer Porter. July 21, 2008: I returned to the police station downtown to complete the report with Ms. Aksionczyk, at 5:40 in the morning on Monday and was told by the officer on duty at the receiving area that she would be in at 6:00. I waited until 6:00 and inquired with a different officer, and was told that she would not be at the receiving area until 10:30 - 2:30. I tried again during these hours, without success. This has been 5 days now and no report has been generated and I can not get a number to reference concerning the case. I need to no how to get the report filed and a number to reference with further correspondence. July 19, 2008: I made a report to an officer by the name of Lisa Aksionczyk, on Saturday of this month, about a stolen backpack I left on the route E bus. Ms. Aksionczyk suggested at the time, that I inquire at the lost and found department of The Bus. I thought this was a good idea, so that a Good Samaritan would not have the unpleasant experience of someone thinking they were a thief. I went to the nearest stop I knew the bus would stop at on its return trip. I saw the driver, recognized as the one I rode with and waited for him to stop. I asked if it wa s turned in. I was told no by the driver. I asked the driver's name. He told me Raymond. I asked where the bus terminated and Raymond told me Waipahu. I subsequently found the bus terminates in Ewa. RAYMOND LIED. The only time I could check with The Bus lost and found would be the following Monday, it is not open on weekends. I did call The Bus, on Saturday, with an emergency report because there was important ID in the backpack. I was told by the representative that no backpack was turned in. On Monday I went to the transit center to inquire in person, and was disappointed to be shown backpacks that were not mine. January 2008: Unlike the DCCA of Hawaii, who I supplied documentation to, the Department of Health and Human Services "Region 10", without documentation, finds that Dr. Au did violate the privacy act by charging me too much for copies of my records. But, Region 10 tells me they cannot precede on the 6 other allegations 1. Along with saying I did not see as well with the new glasses, I said that the prescription that I was given was weaker than the one I had the previous 7, count them, seven years. Your office, nor the DCCA responded to this charge. 2. The reason I asked Dr. Au to change t
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